關於玩美股期權的一些思路
最近半年算是徹底被樑博坑了,被帶入美股,開始一頓操作猛如虎,毫無經驗的我,被按在低谷使勁的摩擦,閒下來想想,有沒有辦法規範炒股的操作呢?因為我很多次都是誤操作才導致虧錢。慢慢接觸了量化交易,通過訓練歷史資料,修正策略模型,有可能在正股中盈利;我虧的是在期權上,期權的風險遠高於正股,期權一晚上的漲幅可能達到1000%,跌幅也可以直接歸零,但是這個區間很大,可以在這個區間中玩玩。
比如,上次英偉達釋出財報,波動率很大,其實看不準財報好不好沒關係(能看的準晶片股的都是大神,可惜我等屁民不是),只要出現大波動率,就一定有機會,下面我來分析下:英偉達是盤後釋出財報,如果看漲,那就買入合適的call期權,這個時候也可以買入合適的看跌put期權,按照行家話,這叫對衝,對衝也是有技巧的,記住,莊家永遠是賺的,像財報季買對衝要極可能的拉大買入區間,比如上次英偉達財報從220左右跌到170,上一個月的高位是280左右吧,這個時候如果買入看跌期權真的需要勇氣,如果買漲,儘量靠近220左右,如果買跌,儘量220往下,因為如果是財報不佳,220附近往上的call和put一定上雙殺,相反,財報很好,220往下附近的也是雙殺,要是買入1000塊錢的call和1000塊錢的put,只要往220兩頭買,肯定是虧不了,但是一定有一個期權是廢了(歸零),這是普通股民的玩法,也是適合大多數人的玩法。
作為程式設計師,機會肯定要比大多數人多,為啥?因為程式自動化交易肯定比手動操作快啊,不用人工盯盤。當晚,英偉達股票大跌近20%左右,這個時候再買put期權的成本就已經上去了,追高風險很高,不如做日內交易,吃50%的漲幅就可以了。當大盤砸下來的時候,是加速度加大的加速運動,這個時候期權的跌幅很大,但是不同的行權期的不同價格波動是沒有規律的,需要找到波動率最大的幾個期權,在合適的價位買入,特別關注下接近0.05以下的,當大盤的的跌幅穩定了,這個時候下跌的加速度就很小了,期權都是稍微往上漲,選擇一個合適的價位賣出,但是人工盯盤很累,沒辦法短時間關注這麼多的期權,可以通過程式實時監控。。。。
今天先分享一下思路,等有時間再來實現這些思路吧!下面貼一下美股上市公司的股票
股票程式碼 | 股票名稱 | 交易所 | 發行地區 | 時 區 | 盤前時間 | 開盤時間 | 結束時間 | 盤後時間 | 昨日收盤價 | 今日開盤價 | 漲跌幅度 | 流通股本 | 總股本 | 市值 | 可做空 | |
MSFT | 微軟 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 106.47 | 106.27 | 0.67 | 7540446289 | 7676218736 | 801323227132 | 3 | |
AAPL | 蘋果 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 174.62 | 171.51 | -0.38 | 4622587100 | 4745398000 | 792819913521 | 3 | |
GOOG | 谷歌 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 1048.62 | 1041.0 | -4.21 | 644595911 | 695465998 | 671024343351 | 3 | |
AMZN | 亞馬遜 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 1581.33 | 1575.99 | 0.09 | 384260000 | 488968628 | 605589917400 | 3 | |
BRK.A | 伯克希爾 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 316040.0 | 315420.0 | 2656.0 | 1642135 | 1642135 | 517962221700 | 3 | |
JNJ | 強生 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 141.37 | 140.57 | 1.85 | 2681318641 | 2681977969 | 376912961365 | 3 | |
XOM | 埃克森美孚 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 76.98 | 76.57 | 0.07 | 4136427080 | 4233807170 | 316726221515 | 3 | |
FB | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 136.38 | 135.75 | -1.38 | 2160000000 | 2873787612 | 293220000000 | 3 | ||
JPM | 摩根大通 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 109.26 | 108.76 | 0.46 | 2680771983 | 3324937772 | 291560760871 | 3 | |
BAC | 美國銀行 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 27.56 | 27.43 | 0.18 | 9780403664 | 9814196864 | 268276472503 | 3 | |
PFE | 輝瑞 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 43.34 | 43.2 | 0.73 | 5777931169 | 5780474578 | 249606626500 | 3 | |
UNH | 聯合健康 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 266.16 | 265.57 | 4.99 | 936212905 | 962034200 | 248630061180 | 3 | |
WFC | 富國銀行 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 52.88 | 52.69 | 0.31 | 4690000000 | 4707244168 | 247116100000 | 3 | |
PG | 寶潔 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 91.94 | 91.93 | 0.78 | 2485996101 | 2491408329 | 228537621564 | 3 | |
CVX | 雪佛龍 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 114.98 | 114.55 | 0.23 | 1880000000 | 1910774369 | 215354000000 | 3 | |
INTC | 英特爾 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 47.45 | 46.94 | 0.62 | 4564000000 | 4564000000 | 214234160000 | 3 | |
CSCO | 思科 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 45.57 | 45.45 | 0.55 | 4495961730 | 4495961730 | 204341460628 | 3 | |
NVS | 諾華 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 89.0 | 88.05 | -0.11 | 2250000000 | 2616845000 | 198112500000 | 3 | |
MA | 萬事達 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 191.85 | 190.75 | 1.13 | 1031524275 | 1032794381 | 196763255456 | 3 | |
MRK | 默沙東 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 75.44 | 75.07 | 0.9 | 2598894285 | 2600376500 | 195098993974 | 3 | |
KO | 可口可樂 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 48.87 | 48.88 | 0.5 | 3960000000 | 4256513898 | 193564800000 | 3 | |
HD | 家得寶 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 169.82 | 169.11 | 3.4 | 1129527754 | 1129527754 | 191014438478 | 3 | |
TM | 豐田汽車 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 121.27 | 121.88 | -0.27 | 1430000000 | 1631499000 | 174288400000 | 3 | |
BA | 波音 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 316.36 | 315.28 | 1.67 | 540541930 | 567885369 | 170422059690 | 3 | |
TSM | 臺積電 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 36.84 | 36.39 | -0.04 | 4640000000 | 5186076000 | 168849600000 | 3 | |
BABA | 阿里巴巴 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 156.01 | 154.64 | 0.45 | 1067000000 | 2571930000 | 165000880000 | 3 | |
DIS | 迪士尼 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 112.55 | 113.61 | 1.35 | 1437543831 | 1488670964 | 163319354639 | 3 | |
PEP | 百事可樂 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 115.86 | 115.37 | 0.58 | 1411252557 | 1411568000 | 162816207501 | 3 | |
ORCL | 甲骨文 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 48.26 | 47.92 | -0.82 | 3310000000 | 3788638156 | 158615200000 | 3 | |
C | 花旗 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 63.73 | 63.35 | -0.27 | 2442100000 | 2442136813 | 154707035000 | 3 | |
T | 美國電話電報 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 29.95 | 29.84 | 0.49 | 5180000000 | 7278000000 | 154571200000 | 3 | |
HSBC | 匯豐 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 43.17 | 42.88 | -0.32 | 3495980186 | 4002025000 | 149907630375 | 3 | |
WMT | 沃爾瑪 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 95.15 | 94.99 | -0.11 | 1570000000 | 2928734576 | 149134300000 | 3 | |
MCD | 麥當勞 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 183.89 | 183.33 | 0.74 | 770640431 | 770910250 | 141281510215 | 3 | |
BP | 英國石油 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 40.53 | 40.17 | -0.21 | 2940000000 | 3301309000 | 118099800000 | 3 | |
TOT | 道達爾 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 54.75 | 54.28 | -0.49 | 2140000000 | 2482905000 | 116159200000 | 3 | |
MMM | 3M | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 199.86 | 199.12 | 0.83 | 582287135 | 582287135 | 115945014321 | 3 | |
ADBE | Adobe | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 231.96 | 230.77 | 0.29 | 488133527 | 488133527 | 112646574025 | 3 | |
NFLX | Netflix, Inc. | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 261.43 | 259.24 | 5.2 | 419120000 | 436084995 | 108652668800 | 3 | |
UNP | 聯合太平洋 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 142.76 | 143.19 | 4.62 | 736790118 | 736790118 | 105500976996 | 3 | |
IBM | IBM | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 119.56 | 118.38 | 0.47 | 866697854 | 908793777 | 102599691956 | 3 | |
BBL | 必和必拓 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 38.89 | 38.37 | -0.48 | 2610000000 | 5321994678 | 100145700000 | 3 | |
AVGO | 安華高科技 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 235.31 | 233.58 | 0.52 | 397330000 | 413446755 | 92808341400 | 3 | |
NKE | 耐克 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 72.71 | 72.28 | -0.62 | 1260847137 | 1588108352 | 91134031062 | 3 | |
CMCSA | 康卡斯特 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 37.77 | 37.62 | 0.59 | 2375801693 | 4703928000 | 89377659690 | 3 | |
NVDA | 英偉達 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 153.05 | 152.0 | 0.68 | 580060000 | 610000000 | 88169120000 | 3 | |
USB | 美國合眾銀行 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 54.16 | 53.79 | -0.44 | 1486724673 | 1616092910 | 79970920160 | 3 | |
SBUX | 星巴克 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 65.69 | 65.46 | 0.39 | 1207748912 | 1240600000 | 79059243779 | 3 | |
GS | 高盛 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 194.34 | 193.4 | -0.69 | 367541825 | 371970000 | 71082588955 | 3 | |
BHP | 必和必拓 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 44.48 | 43.99 | -0.34 | 1605311470 | 5323524421 | 70617651565 | 3 | |
AMT | 美國電塔 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 161.59 | 161.41 | 0.49 | 422930000 | 440487861 | 68265131300 | 3 | |
QCOM | 高通 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 55.73 | 55.59 | -0.16 | 1209859477 | 1212162586 | 67256088326 | 3 | |
MS | 摩根士丹利 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 44.28 | 44.02 | -0.23 | 1520000000 | 1720154771 | 66910400000 | 3 | |
BLK | 貝萊德 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 418.49 | 415.25 | -1.33 | 158022121 | 158676646 | 65618685745 | 3 | |
GE | 通用電氣 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 7.58 | 7.49 | -0.14 | 8666768644 | 8698115000 | 64914097143 | 3 | |
CHL | 中國移動 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 49.73 | 49.01 | -0.47 | 1120000000 | 4095097000 | 54891200000 | 3 | |
GM | 通用汽車 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 37.65 | 37.27 | -0.96 | 1380000000 | 1411403633 | 51432600000 | 3 | |
HMC | 本田汽車 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 28.29 | 28.29 | -0.26 | 1790000000 | 1811428000 | 50639100000 | 3 | |
BIDU | 百度 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 185.19 | 183.6 | -2.4 | 269490000 | 348560560 | 49478364000 | 3 | |
BSX | 波士頓科學 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 35.01 | 34.96 | 0.25 | 1330000000 | 1383800781 | 46496800000 | 3 | |
MU | 美光科技 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 36.57 | 36.09 | 0.43 | 1030000000 | 1134255375 | 37172700000 | 3 | |
PHG | 飛利浦 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 37.61 | 37.29 | -0.32 | 920900000 | 929645000 | 34340361000 | 3 | |
RHT | 紅帽 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 176.97 | 176.93 | -0.24 | 175749153 | 176542812 | 31095297640 | 3 | |
EL | 雅詩蘭黛 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 140.93 | 140.58 | -0.94 | 219470000 | 362852542 | 30853092600 | 3 | |
CAJ | 佳能 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 28.35 | 28.27 | -0.07 | 1090000000 | 1092068154 | 30814300000 | 3 | |
SNP | 中石化 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 83.7 | 83.09 | -0.45 | 355470000 | 1210712000 | 29536002300 | 3 | |
YUM | 百勝餐飲集團 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 88.31 | 88.33 | 1.16 | 311877094 | 312301824 | 27548103713 | 3 | |
EBAY | eBay | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 28.8 | 28.58 | -0.06 | 950140397 | 962827199 | 27155012546 | 3 | |
ERIC | 愛立信 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 8.43 | 8.34 | -0.18 | 2993928000 | 3072000000 | 24969359520 | 3 | |
GLW | 康寧 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 31.54 | 31.14 | 0.04 | 786000000 | 800399090 | 24476040000 | 3 | |
HPE | 惠普企業 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 14.91 | 14.79 | 0.15 | 1471648283 | 1471648283 | 21765678105 | 3 | |
KYO | 日本京瓷 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 56.21 | 55.64 | -1.06 | 342448256 | 377619000 | 19053820963 | 3 | |
SQ | Square, Inc | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 66.52 | 65.59 | -0.64 | 244310000 | 413497604 | 16024292900 | 3 | |
HLT | 希爾頓酒店 | NYSE | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 75.09 | 74.52 | 0.08 | 192723969 | 296569995 | 14361790169 | 3 | |
AMD | AMD | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 20.08 | 19.77 | 0.97 | 637500000 | 999407216 | 12603375000 | 3 | |
JD | 京東 | NASDAQ | US | GMT-5 | 04:00:00 | 09:30:00 | 16:00:00 | 20:00:00 | 20.46 | 20.19 | 0.38 | 474940000 | 1446783000 | 9589038600 | 3 | |