下面為大家整理一篇優秀的assignment代寫範文- The possibility of a financial crisis，供大家參考學習，這篇論文討論了金融危機的可能性。金融危機的可能性既是潛在的可能性，又是現實的可能性，這兩種可能性都由經濟過程內在的矛盾所決定，但可能性不等於現實性。金融危機由潛在可能性轉化為現實可能性再轉化為現實性，不僅是經濟過程內在矛盾深化發展的結果，而且還是一定環境條件的產物。為避免金融風險，減少損失，必須密切關注經濟社會發展動向，預測未來發展趨勢，採取切實有效措施，防患於未然。

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The potential possibility of financial crisis is determined by the depth and breadth of the inherent contradictions in the process of economic operation, which will not change into reality in the current or next stage of economic operation. This kind of possibility, often become the precondition and the forerunner of actual possibility, along with the development of inherent contradiction in economic operation process, change the possibility of reality. Historically, this possibility has been contained in the simple commodity economy.

The latent possibility of crisis comes from the basic contradiction of commodity economy. In analyzing the fetishistic nature of the commodity world, Marx pointed out that in the commodity economy, “the private labor of the producer has achieved a double social nature. On the one hand, the private labor of producers must meet certain social needs as certain useful labor, thus proving that they are part of the total labor and part of the naturally formed social division of labor system. On the other hand, it is only when each special and useful private labor is exchanged for and equal to any other useful private labor that the private labor of the producer can satisfy the multiple needs of the producer himself.” However, “private producers mind their private labor the double nature of society, is reflected in the actual transaction, product exchange shows that form, namely their private labor social usefulness, reflected in the labor products must be useful, and it is useful to others in the form of; The social nature of the equality of different kinds of Labour is reflected in the form in which these materially different things, the products of Labour, have a common property of value.” If the social usefulness of their private labor products cannot be recognized by the society, the social equality of their private labor cannot be reflected in the form of the common value nature of different labor products, their goods cannot be sold, cannot be converted into money, production cannot continue, and a crisis may occur.

After money came into being, the value of goods was represented by money as a certain amount of price. As the quantity of value is transformed into the price, this inevitable relationship is manifested as the exchange ratio of the commodity with the currency commodity existing outside it. This exchange ratio can reflect the quantity of value of the goods, or the quantity larger or smaller than it. Under certain conditions, the goods are transferred in accordance with this larger or smaller quantity. “The quantity inconsistency between price and value quantity, or the possibility of price deviating from value,” has become the “appropriate form” of the basic law of commodity economy, that is, the law of value exerts a regulating effect on commodity economy. But because of the “rules of work only as a blind with no rules of law of averages to open the way for himself”, therefore, in using the form of price adjustment of goods in the process of economic operation, must be buying and selling produce, supply and demand, the contradiction between production and consumption, to make social reproduction in constant fluctuation. The form of commodity prices breeds the possibility of crisis.

Marx pointed out that under the condition of private ownership, commodity production is blind and cannot accurately predict social needs. Social need is limited and there are many competitors, which may make some goods unsellable. At the same time, even if goods can be sold, the amount of money that can be exchanged is largely contingent. The jumping of commodity value from commodity body to gold body is the breathtaking jumping of commodity body. This shows that, in the change of commodity form, the inherent contradiction between private labor and social labor, as well as the derivative use value and value, production and consumption, supply and demand, value production and value realization, should finally be demonstrated through the contradiction between buying and selling, commodity and currency. Due to the existence of the social division of labor and the blindness of commodity production, the necessity of the above contradiction resolution is demonstrated by the regular random chance, thus making the production activities of commodity producers in the contradiction and difficulty, facing huge risks and the possibility of crisis.

The functional role of money as a means of circulation has a dual nature. On the one hand, it breaks the restrictions of individuals and places on the direct exchange of products and develops the material transformation of human labor. On the other hand, a whole series of natural social connections that are not controlled by the party develops. “It divides the immediate identity of the two things which exist here, which are exchanged for the product of one’s own Labour, and for the product of another’s Labour, into the opposition between the two,” which makes their internal unity "the motion of the external opposition. When there is a degree of external independence in the process of internal non-independence, unity is forced to be shown through the crisis.

Along with the development of commodity economy, the function of monetary payment means comes into being. "The function of money as a means of payment involves a direct contradiction. When payments of all kinds cancel each other, money simply performs the function of calculating money or the measure of value conceptually. When actual payments must be made, money does not act as a means of circulation, not as a mere ephemeral form of material transformation, but as a single embodiment of social labor, an independent existence of exchange value, and an absolute commodity. “Money would suddenly go straight from the pure ideology of counting money to hard money.” “The opposition between the commodity and its form of value becomes an absolute contradiction”. The depth and breadth of the internal contradictions of commodity economy increase the possibility of crisis.

With the development of commodity economy and the emergence of world trade, the world economy has gradually merged into an organic whole. “As soon as money crossed the domestic circulation domain, it lost the local forms of price standards, COINS, auxiliary COINS and value symbols obtained in this field, and resumed the original form of precious metal bars.” “World money functions as the absolute social embodiment of general means of payment, general means of purchase and general wealth.” Due to the different development levels of various countries, the constantly changing economic, political and natural environmental conditions, the uncertainty of international economic operation, and the imbalance of current and capital items in the economic exchanges of various countries often occur. International currency crises can occur when the balance between countries’ current and capital accounts is broken, and because of the large margin, the world currency is needed as a payment instrument for real gold and silver.

The possibility of crisis analyzed above is only the abstract or potential possibility of crisis under general commodity economy or simple commodity economy. As Marx said, "to develop this possibility into reality, it must have a whole series of relations. From the point of view of simple commodity circulation, these relationships do not exist at all.

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